The over/under on Trump being thrown out of office is rising.The over/under on Trump being thrown out of office is rising.
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— by a Topeka local who’s seen more transparency in a Sonic drive-thru window than in federal politics

It’s official: betting markets now say there’s an 11.1% chance Donald Trump gets yeeted from office this year, which oddly mirrors the percentage of Kansans who believe “chemtrails cured my arthritis.”


Meanwhile, the odds of Trump remaining in office through 2025 hover at 65.2% — lower than the odds Topeka builds another strip mall in lieu of mental health services, but higher than the chance your city council knows how the internet works.

The Epstein scandal has added a spicy, ethically ambiguous marinade to the whole stew. Despite the DOJ insisting there’s “no client list,” the public isn’t buying it — possibly because the memo was written in Comic Sans and signed “Definitely Not Corrupt.”

Attorney General Pam Bondi mentioned Trump’s name appears “multiple times” in sealed Epstein docs, and Trump’s response was somewhere between “Hoax!” and “Nothingburger with extra denial.” Inspiring confidence across America the same way expired Miracle Whip inspires gourmet trust.

Speaker Mike Johnson pulled a “nothing to see here” maneuver by adjourning Congress early to avoid a vote on document release. That move had all the subtlety of a toddler hiding broccoli in a shoe.

Public sentiment: “We’re not saying he’s guilty — we’re just saying it’s weird the FBI deleted the folder titled ‘Definitely Bad Stuff’.” — Anonymous voter, currently dodging jury duty

Political insiders are now offering side bets:

SituationImplied Odds
Trump serves full term65.2%
Trump resigns “to spend time golfing”8.4%
Trump impeached and replaced with animatronic Reagan2.3%
Epstein docs get released during halftime of Super Bowl0.1%
Kansas finally gets high-speed rail0.00002%

So what happens next? Nothing. Everything. Possibly a spontaneous musical number at the Capitol featuring indicted senators tap dancing through subpoenas. Who’s to say.

All we know is:

  • Democracy feels like it’s being managed by the IT department from your local DMV
  • Conspiracy theories are now bipartisan hobbies
  • And in Topeka, we’re betting on scratch-offs to rebuild the civic budget
Evergreen review suggested Updated July 27, 2025
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